Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.035236 0.039835 0.044930 0.051016 0.058115 0.066167 0.076039
2024-11-03 0.028522 0.034753 0.042311 0.052248 0.065111 0.081393 0.103875
2024-11-10 0.024802 0.031795 0.040823 0.053527 0.071261 0.095631 0.132528
2024-11-17 0.021800 0.029051 0.038872 0.053450 0.075073 0.106860 0.158885
2024-11-24 0.019312 0.026559 0.036766 0.052605 0.077337 0.115872 0.183432
2024-12-01 0.017671 0.025000 0.035697 0.052984 0.081300 0.127923 0.215294
2024-12-08 0.016246 0.023561 0.034576 0.053037 0.084616 0.139318 0.248452
2024-12-15 0.015129 0.022447 0.033790 0.053458 0.088509 0.152266 0.287515
2024-12-22 0.013665 0.020638 0.031695 0.051390 0.087663 0.156309 0.309508
2024-12-29 0.013238 0.020432 0.032162 0.053764 0.095220 0.177727 0.374349
2025-01-05 0.012055 0.018877 0.030212 0.051564 0.093711 0.180575 0.397401
2025-01-12 0.011217 0.017829 0.029028 0.050624 0.094529 0.188421 0.434753
2025-01-19 0.010317 0.016654 0.027606 0.049255 0.094672 0.195735 0.475725
2025-01-26 0.009862 0.016224 0.027491 0.050454 0.100547 0.217761 0.566100
2025-02-02 0.009454 0.015834 0.027403 0.051681 0.106702 0.242008 0.673690
2025-02-09 0.008925 0.015174 0.026733 0.051607 0.109860 0.259473 0.768005
2025-02-16 0.008362 0.014405 0.025779 0.050797 0.111120 0.272215 0.852464
2025-02-23 0.007982 0.013947 0.025386 0.051160 0.115339 0.294371 0.983265
2025-03-02 0.007603 0.013458 0.024884 0.051211 0.118777 0.315234 1.121211
2025-03-09 0.007289 0.013071 0.024554 0.051615 0.123231 0.340559 1.294368
2025-03-16 0.006781 0.012265 0.023280 0.049632 0.120818 0.343168 1.365331
2025-03-23 0.006688 0.012280 0.023743 0.051908 0.130856 0.390763 1.693084
2025-03-30 0.006234 0.011532 0.022498 0.049799 0.127732 0.391136 1.770317